Ddavis wrote:Lets theorize and say Charlier finishes 14th while Osborne finishes 4th. That's a 10 point difference, if Febvre finishes 5th (I doubt he wins with the form that Herlings, Gajser, and Cairoli have been showing), then I don't see Cole or Covington finishing 15th or worse to make that 14th by Charlier the "winning difference".
Based on what I've seen this year I picture these guys finishing in these positions at the MXDN
USA: Osborne (3rd-8th depending on his start) Seely (5th-10th, he will probably get good starts which will help) Covington (5th-10th)
France: Febvre (1st-6th dependong on his form) Charlier (15th-20th) Paulin (5th-10th he might do better, usually rides well at the MXoN)
Belguim: Desalle (3rd-8th) Lieber (15th-DNF he crashes A LOT from what I've seen) Horebeek (3rd-8th usually rides well at the MXDN, personally I'd rather see him ride the 250 like he did last year and put Strojbos in the Open class)
The sleeper is GB in their home country, all three riders can be inside the top 10 and maybe lower (Anstie and Wilson possible top 5s), and Netherlands is another sleeper with Herlings having the potential to go 1-1 while Bogers is a solid MX2 rider and Coldenhoff can be quick at times too.
I honestly think Seely will struggling to top 10, i'll also be crazy impressed to see Osborne get a 3rd with the level of talent coming from the 450 guys.
I don't really agree with the Paulin (5th-10th he might do better) The guy could smash everyone on that line on a good day.
I also wouldn't put NL in the sleeper category when the dutch dudes lost the win on the last lap last year with the exact same line up